Calendar-year inflation forecasts from Federal Open Market Committee meeting participants typically start near 2% and then ...

We document key stylized facts about the time-series trends and cross-sectional distributions of AI pricing and study its ...

Although homeownership is commonly portrayed as a single household living in a detached residential structure, the landscape of homeownership in the United States offers a diverse array of ...

The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is hosting its Annual Conference on Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy in San Francisco on Friday, February 21, 2025. The conference aims to bring together ...

The COVID-19 inflation surge experienced abroad undoubtedly left its mark on U.S. inflation. As global economies return to business as usual, it is natural to ask whether international considerations ...

It’s great to be in New York again and to have the opportunity to speak with you about the economy and monetary policy. I very much appreciate the invitation, and I look forward to a lively discussion ...

I’m delighted, and it’s good to see everybody in the audience. Thank you for having me. Well, I think the jobs market data being revised and going back and forth is just a good lesson of why you can’t ...

Standard asset pricing models reconcile high equity premia with smooth risk-free rates by inducing an inverse functional relationship between the mean and the variance of the stochastic discount ...

As a community-engaged bank, the SF Fed seeks out real-time information on economic conditions by engaging with and learning from businesses, community organizations, and local leaders. These ...

CPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services updates data on how much different types of goods and services contribute to changes in consumer price index (CPI) inflation. This tool is intended ...

The economy has significantly improved from just two years ago. Inflation has fallen substantially, and the labor market has returned to a more sustainable path. A soft landing is achievable, and the ...

Fifteen months of new data covering the period since May 2023 continue to track closely along the path of a fitted nonlinear Phillips curve that shows the empirical relationship between inflation and ...